Monday, December 26, 2016

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2016, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  2. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If NYG and GB both finish 10-6, GB wins the NFC North, but NYG doesn't win the NFC East.)
  3. Division ties are broken first. 
  4. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  5. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  6. Two ties equal one win and one loss.
  7. Clinched division and home-field advantage: DAL.
  8. Clinched division: SEA, ATL.
  9. Clinched wild card and #5 seed: NYG.
  10. Eliminated: SF, CHI, LA, PHI, ARI, NO, CAR, MIN, NO.
  11. Eliminated from division: WAS, TB.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
DET-GB9-6-1GBhead-to-head

NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditions (all must occur)WinnerWhy?
WAS-DET

DEThead-to-head
WAS-GB8-6-2 v. 9-7
GBhead-to-head
DET-ATL10-6
DETcommon opponents
DET-TB9-7
DETcommon opponents
DET-SEA10-6 v. 9-5-2
DETconference record
GB-ATL10-6
ATLhead-to-head
GB-TB9-7DAL loses to PHI or
IND loses to JAX or
TEN loses to HOU or
SF loses to SEA
GBstrength of victory
GB-TB9-7DAL beats PHI
IND beats JAX
TEN beats HOU
SF beats SEA
GBstrength of schedule
GB-SEA

GBconference record
WAS-DET-TB

DETWAS eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
WAS-GB-TB8-6-2 v. 9-7
v. 9-7
DAL loses to PHI or
IND loses to JAX or
TEN loses to HOU or
SF loses to SEA
GBWAS eliminated on conference record;
strength of victory
WAS-GB-TB8-6-2 v. 9-7
v. 9-7
DAL beats PHI
IND beats JAX
TEN beats HOU
SF beats SEA
TBWAS eliminated on conference record;
strength of victory
DET-ATL-SEA10-6 v. 10-6
v. 9-5-2

DETSEA eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
GB-ATL-SEA10-6 v. 10-6
v. 9-5-2

ATLSEA eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head

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Sunday, December 25, 2016

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2016, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of future tie games.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If HOU and MIA both finish 10-6, HOU wins the AFC South, but MIA doesn't win the AFC East.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Clinched division and first-round bye: NE.
  8. Clinched division and #3 seed: PIT.
  9. Clinched division and #4 seed: HOU.
  10. Clinched playoff berth: OAK, KC, MIA.
  11. Eliminated: everyone else.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
HOU-TEN9-7HOUdivision record
OAK-KC12-4KChead-to-head


AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:

Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-OAK13-3OAKcommon opponents
MIA-KC11-5MIAcommon opponents
PIT-HOU10-6PITstrength of victory

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Thursday, December 22, 2016

Reader Mail: Most Plays In A Quarter (Updated 12/22/16)

The Bears ran 35 plays in the 4th quarter in last week's game against the Titans.  Is this a record?

No, but it's close.  Most of the following, like the Bears, were failed comebacks from large deficits.

Most plays in a quarter, 1983-2016:
(all 4th quarters unless noted)
TeamDatePlays*OpponentNon-plays**Notes
St. Louis Rams12/10/199540BUF3
San Diego Chargers11/30/199740DEN8began with final 23 plays of record 25-play drive
New England Patriots11/12/198938NO4
Minnesota Vikings10/14/201238WAS3
Washington Redskins11/4/199037DET1Redskins came back from 38-21 down entering 4Q;
record 112 plays and then-record 39 first downs for game
Pittsburgh Steelers11/19/200637CLE1Steelers came back from 13-3 down to win 24-20
Cincinnati Bengals1/5/201437SD1AFC Wild Card Game
Buffalo Bills11/14/199436PIT2
Green Bay Packers10/14/199636SF2twice rallied from 3-point deficits; won in OT
Baltimore Ravens9/23/200136CIN3
San Francisco 49ers11/25/200236PHI0
Indianapolis Colts1/18/200436NE0AFC Championship Game
Denver Broncos10/31/200436ATL2Jake Plummer 499 passing yards for the game
New Orleans Saints11/9/200836ATL3
Indianapolis Colts11/2/201536CAR1came back from 23-6 down to force OT at 23-all;
lost 29-26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers10/28/198435KC7
Kansas City Chiefs11/24/199135CLE4
Chicago Bears11/16/199735NYJ2
Miami Dolphins11/23/199735NE3
St. Louis Rams12/11/200635CHI5
Detroit Lions9/23/201235TEN3recovered onside with 0:16 left;
tied game on Hail Mary; lost in OT
Tennessee Titans10/7/201235MIN2Titans called timeouts while the Vikings were attempting
to kneel out the clock with 2:00 left up 30-7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers9/25/201635LA Rams470-minute lightning delay with 2:00 left
Chicago Bears11/27/201635TEN2
New York Giants12/22/201635PHI1





































* "Plays" by NFL definition include runs, passes (including sacks), and field goals.  Punts, kickoffs, and plays nullified by penalty are not included.
** "Non-plays" as used here includes punts and plays nullified by penalty.

Other records:
Most plays in a first quarter: 33, Dallas Cowboys, 10/16/1983 vs. Eagles
Most plays in a second quarter: 33, five teams (Denver Broncos, 10/20/1985 vs. Seahawks; Dallas Cowboys, 10/17/1993 vs. 49ers; Houston Oilers, 9/17/1995 vs. Browns; Indianapolis Colts, 12/7/2003 vs. Titans; Arizona Cardinals, 10/7/2007 vs. Rams)
Most plays in a third quarter: 33, Cleveland Browns, 10/4/1987 vs. Patriots (replacement game)
Most plays in an overtime: 29, St. Louis Cardinals, 10/24/1983 vs. Giants (missed 3 field goals in 10-10 tie)
Most plays in a double overtime: 4, Cleveland Browns, 1/3/1987 vs. Jets (AFC Divisional Round)
[Pre-1983 record: 9, Miami Dolphins, 12/25/1971 vs. Chiefs (AFC Divisional Round)]
Most plays in a game: 112, Washington Redskins, 11/4/1990 vs. Lions
Most plays in a regulation game: 98, three teams (San Diego Chargers, 10/19/1986 vs. Chiefs; Green Bay Packers, 10/26/1986 vs. 49ers; Pittsburgh Steelers, 12/8/2002 vs. Texans)

Fewest plays in a quarter: 1, San Diego Chargers, 1/11/2009 vs. Steelers (3rd quarter, AFC Divisional Round) (intercepted on only play from scrimmage and muffed a punt)
Fewest plays in a first quarter: 3, many teams
Fewest plays in a second quarter: 2, New York Jets, 11/20/2005 vs. Broncos (fumbled on second play of only drive; also punted to open quarter and later fumbled kickoff)
Fewest plays in a third quarter (regular season): 2, Denver Broncos, 9/9/2012 vs. Steelers (71-yard TD pass on only drive)
Fewest plays in a fourth quarter: 2, Pittsburgh Steelers, 12/26/1987 vs. Browns (field goal on first play of quarter, intercepted on only other play)
Fewest plays in a game: 28, Cleveland Browns, 9/12/1999 vs. Steelers (first game for expansion Browns; lost 43-0)