Monday, December 22, 2014

Simple AFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2014, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games (CIN is excluded from the table).
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now. (Example: KC and SD can only finish tied if KC beats SD next week.)
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored.  (Example: If BUF and IND both finish 10-6, IND wins the AFC South, but BUF doesn't win the AFC East.)
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If BAL, SD, and KC all finish 9-7, break the SD-KC tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between BAL and the SD-KC winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched division and #1 seed: NE. 
  9. Clinched divisions: IND, DEN.
  10. Clinched berths: PIT, CIN.
  11. Eliminated: NYJ, TEN, JAX, OAK, CLE, MIA, BUF.
  12. Eliminated from division: HOU, SD, KC, BAL.
  13. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
AFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
BUF-MIA9-7MIAconference record
BAL-PIT10-6
PITconference record
KC-SD9-7KChead-to-head

AFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
NE-DEN12-4NEhead-to-head
BAL-SDSDhead-to-head
BAL-KC9-7KCconference record
PIT-IND11-5PIThead-to-head
PIT-DEN11-5
DENstrength of victory
PIT-SD10-6PITconference record
IND-DEN11-5DENhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-HOU9-7HOUhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-SD9-7SDhead-to-head
BUF-BAL-KC9-7
KCconference record
MIA-BAL-HOU9-7
HOUconference record
MIA-BAL-SD9-7
MIAconference record
MIA-BAL-KC9-7
KCBAL eliminated on conference record;
head-to-head
BAL-HOU-SD9-7
HOUBAL eliminated on head-to-head;
conference record
BAL-HOU-KC9-7HOUconference record
PIT-IND-DEN11-5
DENIND eliminated on head-to-head;
strength-of-victory
BUF-BAL-HOU-KC9-7HOUconference record
MIA-BAL-HOU-KC9-7
HOUconference record

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Sunday, December 21, 2014

Simple NFC Tiebreaker Chart, 2014, After Week 16

Notes and assumptions:
  1. No possibility of further tie games except GB-DET.
  2. Tiebreaker winners are as they would be if the teams were tied at the end of the season, NOT as if the season ended right now.
  3. Tiebreakers that don't affect playoff berths or seeding are ignored. 
  4. Division ties are broken first.  (Example: If ARI, SEA, and DET all finish 12-4, break the ARI-SEA tie first.  Then apply the tiebreaker between DET and the ARI-SEA winner.)
  5. If three or more teams are tied, apply that tiebreaker, not the two-team tiebreaker.
  6. Strength of victory is the combined winning percentage (essentially, the number of wins) of the teams a team has beaten. It has nothing to do with point totals.
  7. Locked berths: none.
  8. Clinched divisions: DAL.
  9. Clinched berths: ARI, DET, GB, SEA.
  10. Eliminated: WAS, NYG, CHI, MIN, TB, STL, SF, NO, PHI.
  11. Eliminated from wild card: CAR, ATL.
  12. The complete tiebreaker rules are here.
NFC Division Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordWinnerWhy?
GB-DET11-4-1
DEThead-to-head
ATL-NO7-9
ATLhead-to-head
ARI-SEA
SEAhead-to-head


NFC Wild Card and Seeding Tiebreakers after Week 16:
Tied TeamsRecordExtra conditionsWinnerWhy?
DAL-GB
GBconference record
DAL-DETDETconference record
DAL-ARIARIhead-to-head
DAL-SEADALhead-to-head
GB-ARI12-4GB beats DETGBcommon opponents
GB-ARI11-5GB loses to DET
ARIstrength of victory
GB-SEASEAhead-to-head
DET-ARIARIhead-to-head
DET-SEASEAcommon opponents
DAL-GB-ARI12-4
GBDAL eliminated on conference record;
common opponents
DAL-GB-SEASEAconference record
DAL-DET-ARIARIhead-to-head
DAL-DET-SEASEADAL eliminated on conference record;
common opponents

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